Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for KV Oostende had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest KV Oostende win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.