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Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Joseph Mariën
Malmo

Union SG
3 - 2
Malmo

Burgess (17'), Teuma (69'), Okoh Boniface (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ceesay (6'), Kiese Thelin (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union SG and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

Last Six:
Last Game: Union SG 1-2 Genk
Sunday, September 11 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Malmo

Last Six:
Last Game: Malmo 2-1 Norrkoping
Sunday, September 11 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawMalmo
47.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)23.69% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)28.64% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.25% (0.23 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.63% (0.285 0.28)42.37% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22% (0.284 0.28)64.78% (-0.28699999999999 -0.29)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03% (0.10899999999999 0.11)17.97% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.19% (0.187 0.19)48.81% (-0.19 -0.19)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (0.18199999999999 0.18)27.78% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64% (0.233 0.23)63.36% (-0.237 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 47.66%
    Malmo 28.64%
    Draw 23.69%
Union SGDrawMalmo
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.66%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.64%

How you voted: Union SG vs Malmo

Union SG
76.2%
Draw
12.7%
Malmo
11.1%
63