Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 66.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.