Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 15
Jul 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Swedbank Stadion, Malm

Malmo
3 - 1
Sirius

Sejdiu (33', 89'), Zeidan (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rogic (87' pen.)
Widgren (18'), Stensson (32')
Widgren (49')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Sirius.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

Last Six:
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-0 Malmo
Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League

Sirius

Last Six:
Last Game: Sirius 2-0 Degerfors
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 10.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Sirius win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawSirius
72.95% (0.024999999999991 0.02)16.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)10.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.11% (0.048999999999999 0.05)38.88% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.8% (0.052 0.05)61.19% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.73% (0.016999999999996 0.02)9.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.68% (0.042000000000002 0.04)31.31% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)45.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.37% (0.010999999999999 0.01)81.62% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 72.93%
    Sirius 10.42%
    Draw 16.63%
MalmoDrawSirius
2-0 @ 12.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 72.93%
1-1 @ 7.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 16.63%
0-1 @ 3.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 10.42%

How you voted: Malmo vs Sirius

Malmo
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sirius
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Sirius
2-3
Malmo
Girmai (51'), Sylisufaj (53')
Widgren (89')
Inge Berget (49' pen.), Colak (76', 90+2')
Ahmedhodzic (20'), Rieks (45'), Innocent (51'), Abubakari (53'), Dahlin (54'), Larsson (75'), Colak (90+3')
Jul 10, 2021 2pm
Malmo
4-0
Sirius
Colak (1'), Rieks (22'), Birmancevic (88'), Christiansen (90+3')
Birmancevic (83'), Nalic (90+1')

Colley (38'), Bjorkstrom (56'), Mathisen (60')
Nov 8, 2020 4.30pm
Malmo
4-0
Sirius
Kiese Thelin (3'), Christiansen (8'), Toivonen (15'), Larsson (76')
Inge Berget (63'), Rakip (69')

Shabani (38'), Andersson (59')
Jul 26, 2020 4.30pm
Sirius
2-5
Malmo
Saeid (18' pen.), Vecchia (56')
Hellborg (63')
Andersson (51' og.), Toivonen (65'), Kiese Thelin (85'), Inge Berget (90'), Rieks (90+4')
Christiansen (58')
Jul 21, 2019 2pm
Malmo
1-1
Sirius
Christiansen (38')
Molins (78'), Nielsen (91')
Haglund (26')