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Europa League

Malmo
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 6pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Malmo
3 - 1
Sivasspor

Zeidan (18'), Christiansen (37'), Moisander (68')
Rakip (38'), Lomotey (83'), Moisander (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
James (30')
Yalcin (36'), Goutas (52'), Gradel (52'), Yatabare (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Malmo and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

Last Six:
Last Game: Malmo 3-1 Sundsvall
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Sivasspor

Last Six:
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 3-0 Sivasspor
Saturday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawSivasspor
43.39% (0.075000000000003 0.08)26.64% (-0.113 -0.11)29.97% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.45% (0.358 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (0.452 0.45)54.24% (-0.45500000000001 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (0.376 0.38)75.64% (-0.37899999999999 -0.38)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (0.23999999999999 0.24)24.8% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61% (0.336 0.34)59.38% (-0.338 -0.34)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.26100000000001 0.26)32.91% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.291 0.29)69.48% (-0.294 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 43.39%
    Sivasspor 29.97%
    Draw 26.63%
MalmoDrawSivasspor
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.16% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 9.07% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.97%

How you voted: Malmo vs Sivasspor

Malmo
83.3%
Draw
12.5%
Sivasspor
4.2%
96