Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 25, 2022 at 6pm UK

Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu

Sivasspor
0 - 2
Malmo

(Malmo win 5-1 on aggregate)

Keita (29'), Yesilyurt (42'), James (61'), Gradel (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Birmancevic (76'), Kiese Thelin (90')
Rakip (13'), Birmancevic (21'), Beijmo (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sivasspor and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sivasspor

Last Six:

Last Game: Sivasspor 1-1 Alanyaspor
Monday, August 22 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Kayserispor	3	-2	3
13	Sivasspor	3	-3	2
14	Ankaragucu	2	-1	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 36.3%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 31.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.4%) and 1-2 (6.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.75%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-0 (13.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Sivasspor	Draw	Malmo
31.39% ( 0.17)	32.31% ( 0.01)	36.3% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 36.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

28.23% (

-0.02)

71.77% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.66% (

-0.01)

88.34% (

0.01)

Sivasspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.47% (

0.13)

41.53% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.97% (

0.11)

78.03% (

-0.11)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.07% (

-0.14)

37.93% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.3% (

-0.13)

74.7% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Sivasspor 31.39%

Malmo 36.3%

Draw 32.3%

Sivasspor	Draw	Malmo
1-0 @ 13.84% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 31.39%	0-0 @ 15.75% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.41% 2-2 @ 2.86% Other @ 0.29% Total : 32.3%	0-1 @ 15.27% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 36.3%