Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 36.3%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 31.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.4%) and 1-2 (6.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.75%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-0 (13.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.