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Europa League

Malmo
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmö)
Braga

Malmo
0 - 2
Braga

FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodrigues (30'), Horta (70' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Malmo and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

Last Six:
Last Game: Elfsborg 3-2 Malmo
Sunday, September 4 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Braga

Last Six:
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawBraga
24.95% (0.016999999999999 0.02)24.36% (0.040000000000003 0.04)50.69% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.79% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (-0.15 -0.15)48.1% (0.15 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (-0.138 -0.14)70.26% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)33.61% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (-0.073 -0.07)70.25% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)18.99% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (-0.133 -0.13)50.53% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 24.95%
    Braga 50.69%
    Draw 24.36%
MalmoDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.96% (0.03 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.3%
2-0 @ 3.79% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 24.95%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 10.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 50.69%

How you voted: Malmo vs Braga

Malmo
16.7%
Draw
11.1%
Braga
72.2%
36