| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Boavista | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Braga had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 21.96% ( | 23.69% ( | 54.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( | 48.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( | 70.38% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% ( | 36.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.85% ( | 73.14% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.36% ( | 17.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.75% ( | 48.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 6.49% ( 2-1 @ 5.7% ( 2-0 @ 3.28% ( 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 3-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.96% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.68% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0-2 @ 9.65% ( 1-3 @ 5.65% ( 0-3 @ 5.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 2-4 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.34% |