Primeira Liga
Dec 28, 2025 8.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luis Suarez Charris 34' goal
  • Goncalo Inacio 36' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Araujo 53' goal
  • Luis Suarez Charris 60' goal
  • Luis Suarez Charris 61' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Tome Esteves Baptista 38'

Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Dec 23, 2025 8.45pm
Guimaraes 1 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 6.00pm
Gil Vicente 2 - 2 Rio Ave
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Jalen Blesa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 82.01%. A draw had a probability of 11.98% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 6.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.52%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 82.01% (+0.89)
Draw 11.98% (-0.45)
Rio Ave 6.01% (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.51% (-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.87% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 32.12% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 46.29% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 53.71% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 27.41% (+0.28)
Under 4.5 72.58% (-0.28)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 94.14% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 5.86% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 77.52% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 22.48% (-0.62)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5 48.34% (-1.14)
Under 0.5 51.65% (+1.14)
Over 1.5 14.22% (-0.77)
Under 1.5 85.78% (+0.77)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 82.01%
Draw 11.98%
Rio Ave 6.01%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 12.18% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 11.52% (+0.28)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 8.17% (+0.31)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 5.4% (+0.03)
5-0 @ 4.64% (+0.23)
5-1 @ 3.06% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.11)
6-0 @ 2.19% (+0.14)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.06)
6-1 @ 1.45% (+0.05)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 82.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.67% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 3.03% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 2.66% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 11.98%
Rio Ave
0-1 @ 2% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 1.87% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 6.01%

Head to Head

Taca de Portugal
Apr 22, 2025 8.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Andreas Ntoi 47' yellowcard
  • Andre Luiz 66' goal
  • Andre Luiz 72' yellowcard
  • Theofanis Bakoulas 73' yellowcard
  • goal Goncalo Inacio 11'
  • yellowcard Jeremiah St Juste 33'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 50'
Taca de Portugal
Apr 3, 2025 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Geny Catamo 12' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 45'+1' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andreas Ntoi 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Brandon Aguilera 54' yellowcard
  • goal Aderlan 3' (OG)
  • goal Morten Hjulmand 23'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 88'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Pedro Goncalves 6' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 26' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 51' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 63' goal
  • Geny Catamo 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aderlan 35'
  • yellowcard Clayton 48'
  • goal Clayton 90'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 8.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Umaro Embalo 3' goal
  • Umaro Embalo 6' yellowcard
  • Abdul-Aziz Yakubu 45'+4' goal
  • Joao Graca 60' yellowcard
  • Abdul-Aziz Yakubu 67' goal
  • Renato Pantalon 80' yellowcard
  • Vitor Gomes 83' yellowcard
  • Renato Pantalon 90'+1' redcard
  • Costinha 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremiah St Juste 6'
  • goal Morten Hjulmand 9'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 44'
  • yellowcard Geny Catamo 63'
  • goal Sebastian Coates 73'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diomande 75'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2023 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
  • Paulinho 10' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 26' goal
  • Sebastian Coates 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aderlan 19'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Acevedo 47'
  • yellowcard Fabio Ronaldo 57'
  • yellowcard Ukra 73'
  • yellowcard Bruno Santos Ventura 90'+3'