Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
 
Rio Ave

Sporting Lisbon
vs.
Rio AveRio Ave

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, December 18 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Guimaraes vs. Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, December 23 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, December 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 81.13%. A draw has a probability of 12.42% and a win for Rio Ave has a probability of 6.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (11.24%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.87%) , while for a Rio Ave win it is 0-1 (2.1%).

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawRio Ave
81.13% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)12.42% (0.071 0.07)6.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.47% (-0.545 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.61% (-0.55600000000001 -0.56)32.39% (0.557 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.98% (-0.649 -0.65)54.02% (0.648 0.65)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.92% (-0.119 -0.12)6.08% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.9% (-0.336 -0.34)23.1% (0.335 0.34)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.48% (-0.515 -0.52)50.52% (0.514 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.99% (-0.353 -0.35)85.01% (0.35199999999999 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 81.13%
    Rio Ave 6.45%
    Draw 12.42%
Sporting LisbonDrawRio Ave
2-0 @ 12.04% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 11.24% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.87% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.68% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 5.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-0 @ 4.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 3.01% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.055 -0.06)
6-0 @ 2.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.052 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.41% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 81.13%
1-1 @ 5.87% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.07% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 2.81% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 12.42%
0-1 @ 2.1% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 2% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 6.45%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2025 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Rio Ave
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Luiz (66')
Ntoi (47'), Luiz (72'), Bakoulas (73')
Inacio (11'), Gyokeres (50')
St Juste (33')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2025 8.15pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Rio Ave
Catamo (12'), Gyokeres (45+1' pen.)
Gyokeres (72')

Ntoi (83')
> Preview
Jan 18, 2025 6pm
gameweek 18
Rio Ave
0-3
Sporting Lisbon

Aguilera (54')
Aderlan (3' og.), Hjulmand (23' pen.), Gyokeres (88')
Araujo (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 9, 2024 8.15pm
gameweek 1
Sporting Lisbon
3-1
Rio Ave
Goncalves (6', 26'), Gyokeres (63')
Goncalves (51'), Catamo (70')
Clayton (90')
Aderlan (35'), Clayton (48')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2024 8.30pm
gameweek 23
Rio Ave
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Embalo (3'), Yakubu (45+4' pen., 67' pen.)
Embalo (6'), Graca (60'), Pantalon (80'), Gomes (83'), Costinha (90+4')
Pantalon (90+1')
Hjulmand (9'), Gyokeres (44'), Coates (73')
St Juste (6'), Catamo (63'), Diomande (75')
> Preview