Primeira Liga

Dec 28, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
4-0
Rio Ave Rio Ave

Suarez Charris (34', 60', 61'), Araujo (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, December 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Gil Vicente vs. Sporting Lisbon
Friday, January 2 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, December 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Rio Ave vs. Casa Pia
Sunday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 82.01%. A draw had a probability of 11.98% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 6.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.52%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Rio Ave
82.01% ( 0.89)	11.98% ( -0.44)	6.01% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 45.51% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.87% (

0.27)

32.12% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.29% (

0.31)

53.71% (

-0.31)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.14% (

0.22)

5.86% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.52% (

0.62)

22.48% (

-0.62)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.34% (

-1.14)

51.65% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.22% (

-0.77)

85.78% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 82.01%

Rio Ave 6.01%

Draw 11.98%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Rio Ave
2-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.23) 5-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.85% Total : 82.01%	1-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.62% Total : 11.98%	0-1 @ 2% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.13% Total : 6.01%