Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 86.76%. A draw had a probability of 9.68% and a win for AVS had a probability of 3.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.95%) and 4-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.56%) , while for a AVS win it was 0-1 (1.55%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.