Bayern Bayern Munich
3-1
Sporting Lisbon

Gnabry (65'), Karl (69'), Tah (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kimmich (54' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Mainz
Sunday, December 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Heidenheim vs. Bayern
Sunday, December 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Sporting Lisbon

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 6-0 AVS
Saturday, December 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Santa Clara vs. Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, December 18 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.87%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (5.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
55.87%	21.4%	22.73%

Both teams to score 61.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63%

37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.81%

59.19%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.78%

13.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.03%

39.96%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6%

29.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61%

65.39%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 55.87%

Sporting Lisbon 22.73%

Draw 21.4%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 7.96% 1-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 6.57% 3-0 @ 5.37% 3-2 @ 4.02% 4-1 @ 3.32% 4-0 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.83% Total : 55.87%	1-1 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 3.89% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.4%	1-2 @ 5.89% 0-1 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.14% Total : 22.73%