Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2025 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lennart Karl 29' goal
  • Konrad Laimer 77' yellowcard
  • Alphonso Davies 83' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 87' goal
  • goal Kacper Potulski 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Danny da Costa 50'
  • goal Lee Jae-sung 67'
  • yellowcard Kacper Potulski 86'

Bayern Munich vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 2.30pm
Stuttgart 0 - 5 Bayern
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Dec 5, 2025 7.30pm
Mainz 0 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Nadiem Amiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 83.95%. A draw had a probability of 10.38% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 5.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 4-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%) , while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Bayern Munich 83.95%
Draw 10.38%
Mainz 05 5.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.46%

Goals

Over 2.5 75.59%
Under 2.5 24.41%
Over 3.5 55.86%
Under 3.5 44.14%
Over 4.5 36.33%
Under 4.5 63.67%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 95.88%
Under 0.5 4.12%
Over 1.5 82.75%
Under 1.5 17.25%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 53.67%
Under 0.5 46.33%
Over 1.5 18.02%
Under 1.5 81.98%

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 83.95%
Draw 10.38%
Mainz 05 5.68%
Bayern Munich
3-0 @ 10.32%
2-0 @ 9.7%
4-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 7.94%
2-1 @ 7.47%
4-1 @ 6.33%
1-0 @ 6.08%
5-0 @ 5.25%
5-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.05%
6-0 @ 2.79%
4-2 @ 2.44%
6-1 @ 2.15%
5-2 @ 1.55%
7-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 5.32%
Total : 83.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.68%
2-2 @ 2.87%
0-0 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 10.38%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 1.8%
0-1 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 5.68%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2025 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Leroy Sane 27' goal
  • Michael Olise 40' goal
  • Harry Kane 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Eric Dier 84' goal
  • Konrad Laimer 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 36'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Dec 14, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Lee Jae-sung 41' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 49' yellowcard
  • Lee Jae-sung 60' goal
  • Phillipp Mwene 90' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 78'
  • goal Leroy Sane 87'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 90'+5'
DFB-Pokal
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT Mewa Arena
  • Dominik Kohr 20' yellowcard
  • Paul Nebel 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Moritz Jenz 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Paul Nebel 64' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Musiala 2'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 37'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 43'
  • goal Leroy Sane 45'+1'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 45'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 2.30pm
8
1
HT : 3 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Konrad Laimer 5' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 13' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 19' goal
  • Thomas Muller 47' goal
  • Harry Kane 45'+7' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 61' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 66' goal
  • Harry Kane 70' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 90'+2' goal
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 31'
  • yellowcard Silvan Widmer 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT OPEL ARENA
  • Anthony Caci 43' goal
  • Ludovic Ajorque 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dominik Kohr 49' yellowcard
  • Stefan Bell 65' yellowcard
  • goal Kingsley Coman 11'
  • goal Harry Kane 16'
  • yellowcard Matthijs de Ligt 27'
  • goal Leon Goretzka 59'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ludovic Ajorque 65' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 73' goal
  • Aaron Caricol 79' goal
  • goal Sadio Mane 29'