Bundesliga

Dec 14, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Bayern Bayern Munich
2-2
Mainz Mainz 05

Karl (29'), Kane (87' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Potulski (45+2'), Jae-sung (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Mainz
Sunday, December 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Heidenheim vs. Bayern
Sunday, December 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Mainz
Sunday, December 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Mainz vs. Samsunspor
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 83.95%. A draw had a probability of 10.38% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 5.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 4-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%) , while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Mainz 05
83.95%	10.38%	5.68%

Both teams to score 51.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.59%

24.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.86%

44.14%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.88%

4.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.75%

17.25%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.67%

46.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.02%

81.98%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 83.95%

Mainz 05 5.68%

Draw 10.38%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Mainz 05
3-0 @ 10.32% 2-0 @ 9.7% 4-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 7.94% 2-1 @ 7.47% 4-1 @ 6.33% 1-0 @ 6.08% 5-0 @ 5.25% 5-1 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 3.05% 6-0 @ 2.79% 4-2 @ 2.44% 6-1 @ 2.15% 5-2 @ 1.55% 7-0 @ 1.27% 7-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 4.34% Total : 83.95%	1-1 @ 4.68% 2-2 @ 2.87% 0-0 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.92% Total : 10.38%	1-2 @ 1.8% 0-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.41% Total : 5.68%