Conference League
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Antoni Kozubal
31'
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Mikael Ishak
41'
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Michal Gurgul
70'
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Sota Kawasaki
28'
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Nikolas Veratschnig
37'
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Sota Kawasaki
51'
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Nikolas Veratschnig
66'
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Daniel Batz
89'
Lech Poznan vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result
Lech Poznan
48.19%
Draw
22.36%
Mainz 05
29.46%
Both Teams to Score:
64.69%
Goals
Over 2.5
64.54%
Under 2.5
35.46%
Over 3.5
42.5%
Under 3.5
57.5%
Over 4.5
24.18%
Under 4.5
75.82%
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5
84.84%
Under 0.5
15.16%
Over 1.5
56.25%
Under 1.5
43.75%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
76.25%
Under 0.5
23.75%
Over 1.5
42.11%
Under 1.5
57.89%
Score analysis
Lech Poznan
48.19%
Draw
22.36%
Mainz 05
29.46%
Lech Poznan
2-1
@
9.21%
1-0 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 5.79%
3-2 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 4.03%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.9%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 48.19%
1-0 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 5.79%
3-2 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 4.03%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.9%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 48.19%
Draw
1-1
@
9.76%
2-2 @ 6.62%
0-0 @ 3.6%
3-3 @ 2%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.36%
2-2 @ 6.62%
0-0 @ 3.6%
3-3 @ 2%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.36%
Mainz 05
1-2
@
7.02%
0-1 @ 5.18%
0-2 @ 3.72%
1-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.46%
0-1 @ 5.18%
0-2 @ 3.72%
1-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.46%