Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (9.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 29.61% | 27.21% | 43.18% |
| Both teams to score 48.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.47% | 56.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.48% | 77.52% |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.62% | 34.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.91% | 71.09% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% | 25.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.05% | 60.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| AVS | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 6.86% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.61% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 12.03% 1-2 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 8.12% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.17% |