Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (9.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.