Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.66% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 21.56% | 23.66% | 54.78% |
| Both teams to score 51.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.43% | 48.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.31% | 70.68% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.05% | 36.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% | 73.73% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% | 17.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.81% | 48.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 6.48% 2-1 @ 5.6% 2-0 @ 3.23% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.71% Total : 21.56% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 11.29% 0-2 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-3 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 5.66% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 2.46% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.77% |