Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.66% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.