Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 43.49% | 25.9% | 30.61% |
| Both teams to score 53.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.01% | 50.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.14% | 72.86% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% | 23.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.72% | 57.28% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% | 30.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% | 67.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.49% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.46% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.61% |