Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 23, 2025 at 8.45pm UK

Guimaraes Vitoria de Guimaraes
vs.
Sporting Lisbon

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 AVS
Wednesday, December 17 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, December 18 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes has a probability of 29.16% and a draw has a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-1 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.12%).

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
29.16% ( -4.2)	23.93% ( -0.64)	46.92% ( 4.84)

Both teams to score 58.8% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.88% (

1.12)

43.12% (

-1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.48% (

1.1)

65.52% (

-1.1)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2% (

-2.13)

27.8% (

2.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61% (

-2.81)

63.39% (

2.81)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.44% (

2.55)

18.56% (

-2.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.19% (

4.13)

49.81% (

-4.12)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 29.16%

Sporting Lisbon 46.92%

Draw 23.92%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.67) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.76) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.78) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.49) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.47) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.84% Total : 29.16%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.45) 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.76) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( 0.64) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.71) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.42) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.41) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.44% Total : 46.92%