Primeira Liga

Dec 23, 2025 at 8.45pm UK

Guimaraes Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-4
Sporting Lisbon

Arcanjo (50')
Oliveira (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Trincao (32'), Ioannidis (42'), Diego Castillo Reyes (63' og.), Araujo (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-4 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, December 23 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Casa Pia vs. Guimaraes
Sunday, December 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-4 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, December 23 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Sporting Lisbon vs. Rio Ave
Sunday, December 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
29.06% ( -0.98)	24.59% ( 0.18)	46.34% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 56.46% (

-1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.83% (

-1.34)

46.17% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.54% (

-1.28)

68.47% (

1.28)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.59% (

-1.36)

29.42% (

1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.59% (

-1.69)

65.41% (

1.69)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.99% (

-0.2)

20.01% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.8% (

-0.32)

52.2% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 29.06%

Sporting Lisbon 46.34%

Draw 24.58%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.35% Total : 29.06%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.9% Total : 46.34%