Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Guimaraes
Dec 23, 2025 8.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
Sporting Lisbon
  • Telmo Arcanjo 50' goal
  • Joao Mendes 62' yellowcard
  • João Mendes 62' yellowcard
  • Joao Mendes 63' yellowcard
  • Fabio Blanco Gomez 84' yellowcard
  • Fabio Blanco 84' yellowcard
  • Nelson Oliveira 87' redcard
  • Nélson Oliveira 87' redcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Abascal 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Francisco Trincao 32'
  • goal Francisco Trincão 32'
  • goal Fotis Ioannidis 42'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 58'
  • yellowcard Maxi Araújo 58'
  • goal Juan Diego Castillo Reyes 63' (OG)
  • goal Juan Castillo 63' (OG)
  • yellowcard Eduardo Quaresma 76'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Quaresma 77'
  • goal Maximiliano Araujo 79'
  • goal Maxi Araújo 79'
  • yellowcard Salvador Blopa 87'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 89'
  • yellowcard Ivan Fresneda 90'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Iván Fresneda 90'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 90'+1'
  • yellowcard 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ivan Fresneda 90'+1'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 6.00pm
Rio Ave 0 - 1 Guimaraes
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Samu

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 6 - 0 AVS
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Luis Suárez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 29.06% ▼ (-0.99)
Draw 24.59% ▲ (+0.19)
Sporting Lisbon 46.34% ▲ (+0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.46% ▼ (-1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.83% ▼ (-1.35)
Under 2.5 46.17% ▲ (+1.35)
Over 3.5 31.54% ▼ (-1.28)
Under 3.5 68.47% ▲ (+1.29)
Over 4.5 15.75% ▼ (-0.92)
Under 4.5 84.25% ▲ (+0.92)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 70.59% ▼ (-1.36)
Under 0.5 29.42% ▲ (+1.36)
Over 1.5 34.59% ▼ (-1.69)
Under 1.5 65.41% ▲ (+1.70)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 79.99% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 0.5 20.01% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 47.8% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 52.2% ▲ (+0.33)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 29.06%
Draw 24.58%
Sporting Lisbon 46.34%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 29.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% ▲ (+0.16)
0-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.33)
2-2 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.58%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.48)
1-2 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.12)
1-4 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 46.34%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
Sporting Lisbon
May 17, 2025 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Guimaraes
  • Zeno Debast 10' yellowcard
  • Pedro Goncalves 55' goal
  • Geny Catamo 57' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 82' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Toni Borevkovic 8'
  • yellowcard Joao Mendes 17'
  • yellowcard Nelson Oliveira 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Telmo Arcanjo 71'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
Jan 3, 2025 8.15pm
4
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Sporting Lisbon
  • Tiago Silva 7' goal
  • Samu 9' yellowcard
  • Joao Mendes 56' yellowcard
  • Kaio Cesar 69' goal
  • Joao Mendes 82' goal
  • Dieu-Merci Ndembo-Michel 85' goal
  • Oscar Rivas 89' yellowcard
  • Telmo Arcanjo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 2'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 14'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 18'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 57'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 75'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 81'
  • yellowcard Jeremiah St Juste 84'
  • yellowcard Ivan Fresneda 90'+3'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
Apr 21, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Guimaraes
  • Pedro Goncalves 30' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 45'+3' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 49' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nelson Oliveira 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Guimaraes
Dec 9, 2023 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Sporting Lisbon
  • Ricardo Mangas 27' yellowcard
  • Tiago Silva 45'+7' goal
  • Andre Silva 73' goal
  • Dani Silva 80' goal
  • Ze Carlos 89' yellowcard
  • Manu Silva 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Esgaio 17'
  • goal Goncalo Inacio 42'
  • goal Nuno Santos 77'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Guimaraes
Apr 24, 2023 8.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Sporting Lisbon
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 47'
  • goal Arthur 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 5, 2022 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Guimaraes
  • Marcus Edwards 34' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 40' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 55' goal

Form Data

Guimaraes 0 - 1 AVS
Rio Ave 0 - 1 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 0 - 0 Gil Vicente
Porto 1 - 3 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 4 - 0 AVS
Guimaraes 4 - 0 Mortagua
Santa Clara 2 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 6 - 0 AVS
Bayern 3 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Benfica 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Brugge