Vitoria de Guimaraes
Taca de Portugal | 5th Round
Dec 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
 

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Coverage of the Taca de Portugal 5th Round clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and AVS.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
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Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 6-0 AVS
Saturday, December 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw has a probability of 18.32% and a win for AVS has a probability of 11.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.71%) , while for a AVS win it is 0-1 (3.98%).

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawAVS
70.08% (0.375 0.38)18.32% (-0.261 -0.26)11.61% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 47.36% (0.51000000000001 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.62% (0.878 0.88)43.38% (-0.875 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.22% (0.858 0.86)65.78% (-0.857 -0.86)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (0.348 0.35)11.18% (-0.345 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.32% (0.753 0.75)35.68% (-0.751 -0.75)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.32% (0.36799999999999 0.37)46.67% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.76% (0.278 0.28)82.24% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 70.07%
    AVS 11.61%
    Draw 18.32%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawAVS
2-0 @ 12.52% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 11.43% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 9.15% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 5.01% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.064 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.2% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.67% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 70.07%
1-1 @ 8.71% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.22% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 3.64% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 18.32%
0-1 @ 3.98% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 11.61%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2025 8.15pm
Guimaraes
4-0
AVS
Oliveira (14'), Mukendi (32'), Rivas (27'), Camara (75')

Assuncao (90+3')
Feb 1, 2025 8.30pm
gameweek 20
Guimaraes
2-0
AVS
Samu (55'), Arcanjo (78')
Santos (17')

Vela Rodrigues (41'), Assuncao (44'), Ochoa (45'), Grau (50')
Assuncao (47')
Aug 25, 2024 8.30pm
gameweek 3
AVS
1-0
Guimaraes
Nene (74')
Lucca (30'), Afonso (46'), Mena Palacios (90+7')

Villanueva (82'), Gustavo (85'), Santos (88')