Taca de Portugal | 5th Round

Dec 17, 2025 at 8pm UK

Guimaraes Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1
AVS

FT(HT: 0-1)

Akinsola (41')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal 5th Round clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and AVS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 AVS
Wednesday, December 17 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Guimaraes vs. Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, December 23 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

AVS

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 AVS
Wednesday, December 17 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: AVS vs. Nacional
Sunday, December 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.32% and a win for AVS had a probability of 11.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%) , while for a AVS win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	AVS
70.08% ( 0.38)	18.32% ( -0.26)	11.61% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 47.36% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.62% (

0.88)

43.38% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.22% (

0.86)

65.78% (

-0.86)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.82% (

0.35)

11.18% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.32% (

0.75)

35.68% (

-0.75)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.32% (

0.37)

46.67% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.76% (

0.28)

82.24% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 70.07%

AVS 11.61%

Draw 18.32%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	AVS
2-0 @ 12.52% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.65% Total : 70.07%	1-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 18.32%	0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 11.61%