Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Sporting Lisbon
Jan 16, 2026 8.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Casa Pia
  • Geny Catamo 38' goal
  • Geny Catamo 43' goal
  • Daniel Braganca 66' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Mangas 66' yellowcard
  • Daniel Bragança 66' yellowcard
  • Daniel Braganca 78' goal
  • Daniel Bragança 78' goal
  • Alisson de Almeida Santos 83' yellowcard
  • Zeno Debast 83' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Kochorashvili 83' yellowcard
  • Alisson Santos 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira 37'
  • yellowcard Kaly 37'
  • yellowcard Tiago Morais 46'
  • yellowcard Xander Severina 69'
  • yellowcard Claudio Mendes 69'
  • yellowcard Clau Mendes 69'
  • yellowcard Claudio Mendes 70'
  • yellowcard Rafael Brito 85'

Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 2, 2026 6.45pm
Gil Vicente 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 3.30pm
Rio Ave 3 - 1 Casa Pia
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.4%. A draw had a probability of 14.78% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 6.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.18%) and 3-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%) , while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 78.4%
Draw 14.78%
Casa Pia 6.83% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.86% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 20.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 42.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 36.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 73% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 62.1%
Draw 28.68%
Casa Pia 9.21%

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 79.66% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Casa Pia 14.99%

Corners

Over 8 63.68%
Equal 8 10.45%
Under 8 25.87%
Over 9 52.54%
Equal 9 11.14%
Under 9 36.32%
Over 10.5 41.6%
Under 10.5 58.4%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 69.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 30.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 43.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 56.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 23.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.38% ▼ (-0.04)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 33.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 66.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 9.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 90.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 98.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.23%
Under 3.5 99.77%

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 78.39%
Draw 14.79%
Casa Pia 6.83%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 14.05% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 12.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53%
Other @ 23.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 78.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.67%
0-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.54%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 14.79%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 6.83%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Casa Pia
Aug 8, 2025 8.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Casa Pia
Mar 9, 2025 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
Sporting Lisbon
  • Pablo Roberto 28' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Esgaio 45' goal
  • Duplexe Tchamba 48' yellowcard
  • Rafael Brito 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Max Svensson Rio 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 6'
  • goal Goncalo Inacio 12'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 34'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 56'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diomande 62'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 77'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Sporting Lisbon
Oct 5, 2024 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Casa Pia
  • Daniel Braganca 39' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 80' goal
  • Daniel Braganca 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nermin Zolotic 36'
  • yellowcard Ruben Kluivert 78'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Sporting Lisbon
Jan 29, 2024 8.45pm
8
0
HT : 5 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Casa Pia
  • Sebastian Coates 14' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 23' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 25' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 32' goal
  • Morten Hjulmand 38' yellowcard
  • Francisco Trincao 43' goal
  • Geny Catamo 64' goal
  • Sebastian Coates 81' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Nunes 13'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Casa Pia
Aug 18, 2023 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Pina Manique
Sporting Lisbon
  • Fernando Varela 55' yellowcard
  • Beni Mukendi 45'+12' yellowcard
  • Clayton 58' goal
  • Neto 90' yellowcard
  • Andre Geraldes 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 3'
  • goal Paulinho 61'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 72'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Casa Pia
Apr 9, 2023 6.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT Estádio Pina Manique
Sporting Lisbon
  • Rafael Martins 7' goal
  • Yuki Soma 45'+1' goal
  • Felippe Cardoso 62' goal
  • goal Francisco Trincao 1'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 39'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 48'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 85'

Form Data

Sporting Lisbon 1 - 2 Guimaraes
Gil Vicente 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 0 Rio Ave
Guimaraes 1 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Santa Clara 2 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 6 - 0 AVS
Rio Ave 3 - 1 Casa Pia
Casa Pia 0 - 0 Guimaraes
Tondela 1 - 2 Casa Pia
Casa Pia 1 - 2 Torreense
Casa Pia 1 - 1 Gil Vicente
Santa Clara 1 - 0 Casa Pia