Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 4, 2026 at 3.30pm UK

Rio Ave Rio Ave
vs.
Casa Pia

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Casa Pia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, December 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, December 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Casa Pia win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Rio Ave has a probability of 33.38% and a draw has a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Rio Ave win is 1-0 (8.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.44%).

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Casa Pia
33.38% ( 0.01)	26.17% ( 0)	40.45% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.19% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.7% (

-0.01)

51.3% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.87% (

-0.01)

73.13% (

0.02)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92% (

29.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35%

65% (

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01% (

-0.02)

24.99% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.36% (

-0.02)

59.64% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 33.38%

Casa Pia 40.44%

Draw 26.17%

Rio Ave	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.38%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.44%