Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torreense win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torreense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.