Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2025 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Yassin Oukili 30' yellowcard
  • Dailon Rocha 41' yellowcard
  • Dailon Livramento 41' yellowcard
  • David 63' yellowcard
  • David Sousa 63' yellowcard
  • David 64' yellowcard
  • Miguel Ferreira de Sousa 79' yellowcard
  • Miguel Sousa 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matija Mitrovic 9'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Nogueira 41'
  • yellowcard Maga 41'

Casa Pia vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 6.00pm
Tondela 1 - 2 Casa Pia
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Cassiano

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Dec 23, 2025 8.45pm
Guimaraes 1 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Samu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.56% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%) , while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Casa Pia 21.8% ▼ (-0.30)
Draw 24.56% ▲ (+0.23)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.64% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.54% ▼ (-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.07% ▼ (-1.20)
Under 2.5 51.93% ▲ (+1.21)
Over 3.5 26.32% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 3.5 73.68% ▲ (+1.05)
Over 4.5 12.21% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 4.5 87.79% ▲ (+0.69)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 61.39% ▼ (-0.98)
Under 0.5 38.61% ▲ (+0.98)
Over 1.5 24.64% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 1.5 75.36% ▲ (+0.94)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 80.69% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 0.5 19.3% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 1.5 48.94% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 1.5 51.06% ▲ (+0.72)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 21.8%
Draw 24.56%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.64%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 21.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.35)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.56%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1 @ 12.26% ▲ (+0.42)
0-2 @ 10.08% ▲ (+0.21)
1-2 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.12)
0-4 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 53.64%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Joao Mendes 22' yellowcard
  • Mikel Villanueva 35' yellowcard
  • Vando Baifas Felix 36' yellowcard
  • Joao Mendes 50' goal
  • Joao Mendes 78' yellowcard
  • Umaro Embalo 79' goal
  • yellowcard Andrian Kraev 27'
  • yellowcard Max Svensson Rio 52'
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 60'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 73'
  • yellowcard Patrick Sequeira 79'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Cassiano 39' goal
  • Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 45' yellowcard
  • Nermin Zolotic 51' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 49' (OG)
  • yellowcard Rui Manuel Gomes Borges 55'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Andre Andre 51' yellowcard
  • goal Clayton 4'
  • goal Pablo Roberto 35'
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 49'
  • yellowcard Neto 62'
  • yellowcard Clayton 71'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pina Manique
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 57' yellowcard
  • Vasco Fernandes 80' yellowcard
  • Artur Serobyan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Mendes 36'
  • yellowcard Manu Silva 63'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Ruben Lameiras 41' yellowcard
  • Bruno Varela 59' yellowcard
  • Andre Andre 86' yellowcard
  • goal Takahiro Kunimoto 7'
  • yellowcard Nermin Zolotic 25'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Batista 55'
  • yellowcard Yan Brice Eteki 68'