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Benfica
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Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
 
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Casa Pia
vs.
GuimaraesVitoria de Guimaraes

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Tondela 1-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 AVS
Wednesday, December 17 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Guimaraes vs. Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, December 23 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw has a probability of 24.34% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 22.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.57%) , while for a Casa Pia win it is 1-0 (6.94%).

Result
Casa PiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
22.09% (-0.188 -0.19)24.34% (-0.138 -0.14)53.57% (0.321 0.32)
Both teams to score 50.59% (0.176 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27% (0.354 0.35)50.73% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37% (0.312 0.31)72.63% (-0.316 -0.32)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)37.64% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)74.42% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (0.259 0.26)18.87% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (0.433 0.43)50.34% (-0.436 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 22.09%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.56%
    Draw 24.33%
Casa PiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.94% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-1 @ 5.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 22.09%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 9.88% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.49% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.36% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.03 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.29% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.24% (0.043 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.56%

Head to Head
Mar 1, 2025 8.30pm
gameweek 24
Guimaraes
1-0
Casa Pia
Mendes (50'), Embalo (79')
Mendes (22'), Villanueva (35'), Baifas Felix (36'), Mendes (78')

Kraev (27'), Svensson Rio (52'), Tchamba (60'), Pedro Goulart Silva (73'), Sequeira (79'), Fonte (90+7')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2024 6pm
gameweek 7
Casa Pia
1-1
Guimaraes
Cassiano (39' pen.)
Pedro Goulart Silva (45'), Zolotic (51')
Pedro Goulart Silva (49' og.)
Manuel Gomes Borges (55')
> Preview
Feb 24, 2024 8.30pm
gameweek 23
Guimaraes
0-2
Casa Pia

Andre (51')
Clayton (4'), Roberto (35')
Tchamba (49'), Neto (62'), Clayton (71')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 6pm
gameweek 6
Casa Pia
0-0
Guimaraes
Larrazabal (57'), Fernandes (80'), Serobyan (90+4')
Mendes (36'), Silva (63')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 8.30pm
gameweek 21
Casa Pia
0-0
Guimaraes
> Preview