Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.56% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%) , while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 21.8% ( | 24.56% ( | 53.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.07% ( | 51.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.32% ( | 73.68% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.39% ( | 38.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.64% ( | 75.36% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.69% ( | 19.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.94% ( | 51.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-1 @ 5.55% ( 2-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 3-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.8% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 2-2 @ 4.57% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0-2 @ 10.08% ( 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0-3 @ 5.53% ( 1-3 @ 5.26% ( 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0-4 @ 2.27% ( 1-4 @ 2.16% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 53.64% |