/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Ftonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
-
Tiago Miguel Silva Manso
23'
-
Joao Afonso
53'
-
Ivan Cavaleiro
58'
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Renato Nhaga
31'
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Gaizka Larrazabal
62'
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Yassin Oukili
66'
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Renato Nhaga
70'
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Andre Geraldes
82'
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Andre Geraldes
83'
Tondela vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (10.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result
Tondela
35.11%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
27.94%
▲
(+0.02)
Casa Pia
36.95%
▼
(-0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
47.95%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.94%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
58.06%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
21.27%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
78.74%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
9.08%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
90.93%
▲
(+0.03)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5
68.67%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
31.33%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
32.31%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
67.7%
▼
(-0.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
69.82%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
30.18%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
33.67%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
66.33%
▲
(+0.18)
Score analysis
Tondela
35.11%
Draw
27.94%
Casa Pia
36.94%
Tondela
1-0
@
10.97%
▲
(+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.11%
2-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.11%
Draw
1-1
@
13.14%
0-0 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.94%
0-0 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.94%
Casa Pia
0-1
@
11.32%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 36.94%
1-2 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 36.94%