Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Tondela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2025 at 6pm UK
 
Casa Pia

TondelaTondela
vs.
Casa Pia

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Tondela
Monday, December 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Casa Pia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-2 Torreense
Wednesday, December 17 at 6.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Casa Pia win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Tondela has a probability of 35.11% and a draw has a probability of 27.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Tondela win is 1-0 (10.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.14%).

Result
TondelaDrawCasa Pia
35.11% (0.18 0.18)27.94% (0.013999999999999 0.01)36.95% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 47.95% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.94% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)58.06% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27% (-0.035 -0.04)78.74% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (0.091999999999999 0.09)31.33% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (0.107 0.11)67.7% (-0.107 -0.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.82% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)30.18% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (-0.17 -0.17)66.33% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Tondela 35.11%
    Casa Pia 36.94%
    Draw 27.94%
TondelaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.46% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.11%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 11.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 36.94%

rhs 2.0


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