Primeira Liga

Dec 7, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Tondela Tondela
0-2
Porto

FT(HT: 0-0)

Omorodion (48'), Gomes Carvalho Santos (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Tondela
Monday, December 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Tondela vs. Casa Pia
Sunday, December 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Estrela Amadora
Monday, December 15 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Porto vs. Famalicao
Thursday, December 18 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.72% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 9.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.02%) and 0-3 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%) , while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Porto
9.95%	18.72%	71.33%

Both teams to score 40.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.46%

49.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.43%

71.57%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.27%

53.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.89%

87.11%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.4%

12.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.3%

38.7%

Score Analysis

Tondela 9.95%

Porto 71.31%

Draw 18.72%

Tondela	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.21% 2-1 @ 2.71% 2-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.73% Total : 9.95%	1-1 @ 8.71% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 2.8% Other @ 0.44% Total : 18.72%	0-2 @ 14.52% 0-1 @ 14.02% 0-3 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 9.02% 1-3 @ 6.23% 0-4 @ 5.19% 1-4 @ 3.23% 0-5 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-5 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.65% Total : 71.31%