Taca da Liga | Semifinals

Jan 6, 2026 at 8pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
vs.
Guimaraes Vitoria de Guimaraes

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Semifinals clash between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, December 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Gil Vicente vs. Sporting Lisbon
Friday, January 2 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, December 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Guimaraes vs. Nacional
Friday, January 2 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw has a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes has a probability of 14.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.75%) , while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it is 0-1 (4.87%).

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
65.19% ( 6.26)	20.5% ( -1.4)	14.32% ( -4.86)

Both teams to score 48.11% (

-5.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.4% (

-2.49)

46.6% (

2.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.13% (

-2.38)

68.87% (

2.38)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.5% (

1.13)

13.5% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.46% (

2.21)

40.54% (

-2.21)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.61% (

-7.55)

44.39% (

7.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.56% (

-6.82)

80.44% (

6.82)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 65.18%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 14.32%

Draw 20.5%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 12.01% ( 2.06) 1-0 @ 12% ( 1.65) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 8.02% ( 1.64) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.95) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.54) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.43) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.21) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.73% Total : 65.18%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.59) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -1) Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.5%	0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -1.21) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.71) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.58) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.65) Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.32%

Head to Head

Dec 23, 2025 8.45pm

Guimaraes

1-4

Sporting Lisbon

Arcanjo (50')
Mendes (62'), Mendes (63'), Blanco Gomez (84'), (90+6'), Abascal (90+6')
Oliveira (87')

Trincao (32'), Ioannidis (42'), Diego Castillo Reyes (63' og.), Araujo (79')
Araujo (58'), Quaresma (76'), Quaresma (77'), Blopa (87'), Fresneda (90'), Hjulmand (90+1'), Hjulmand (90'), (90+1'), (90'), Fresneda (90+1')

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May 17, 2025 6pm

gameweek 34

Sporting Lisbon

2-0

Guimaraes

Goncalves (55'), Gyokeres (82')
Debast (10'), Catamo (57'), Gyokeres (84')

Borevkovic (8'), Mendes (17'), Oliveira (45+2'), Arcanjo (71')

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Jan 3, 2025 8.15pm

gameweek 17

Guimaraes