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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 2, 2026 at 8.45pm UK
 
Nacional

GuimaraesVitoria de Guimaraes
vs.
Nacional

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, December 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: AVS 2-2 Nacional
Sunday, December 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 30.26% and a draw has a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.33%).

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawNacional
43.8% (-0.055 -0.05)25.94% (0.015999999999998 0.02)30.26% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)51.31% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (-0.052 -0.05)73.14% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)23.31% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)57.26% (0.07 0.07)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)31.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)67.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 43.79%
    Nacional 30.26%
    Draw 25.93%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 43.79%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 30.26%

Head to Head
May 3, 2025 3.30pm
gameweek 32
Nacional
1-2
Guimaraes
Yamada (73')
Soumare (45'), Vitor (59')
Silva (13'), Andres Ramirez (64')
Andres Ramirez (34'), Silva (45'), Arcanjo (61')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2024 6.45pm
gameweek 15
Guimaraes
2-2
Nacional
Silva (24' pen.), Santos (49')
Handel (90+1')
Aguiar Tomich (9'), Aurelio (90+3')
Vitor (18')
> Preview
Apr 26, 2021 7pm
gameweek 29
Nacional
1-0
Guimaraes
Mendes (7')
Fernandes (15'), Rochez (44'), Azouni (51'), Silvio (59'), Ibrahim Alhassan (81'), Bessa (84'), Rochinha (84')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2021 8.15pm
gameweek 12
Guimaraes
3-1
Nacional
Quaresma (22'), Estupinan (51'), Kal (61' og.)
Mensah (33'), Fernandes (41'), Andre (67')
Gorre (16')
Azouni (19'), Gorre (58')
> Preview
May 5, 2019 8pm
gameweek 32
Guimaraes
2-2
Nacional
Toze (11' pen.), Hanin (78')
Wakaso (4'), Davidson (45'), Hanin (87'), Dodo (87')
Wakaso (24')
Coelho (82'), Alhassan (92')
Arabidze (12'), Campos (60'), Alhassan (64'), Camacho (65'), Goncalves (69')