/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
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Nabili Touaizi
71'
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Marko Milovanovic
88'
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90'+3'
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Deivison Souza Brito
90'+3'
Alverca vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Alverca had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Alverca win was 1-0 (9.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result
Alverca
34.31%
Draw
26.98%
Nacional
38.7%
Both Teams to Score:
50.8%
Goals
Over 2.5
45.56%
Under 2.5
54.44%
Over 3.5
24.19%
Under 3.5
75.81%
Over 4.5
10.85%
Under 4.5
89.15%
Alverca Goals
Over 0.5
69.96%
Under 0.5
30.04%
Over 1.5
33.84%
Under 1.5
66.16%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
72.61%
Under 0.5
27.39%
Over 1.5
37.14%
Under 1.5
62.86%
Score analysis
Alverca
34.31%
Draw
26.98%
Nacional
38.7%
Alverca
1-0
@
9.9%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 34.31%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 34.31%
Draw
1-1
@
12.81%
0-0 @ 8.23%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.98%
0-0 @ 8.23%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.98%
Nacional
0-1
@
10.65%
1-2 @ 8.3%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 38.7%
1-2 @ 8.3%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 38.7%