Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Attendance: 1,296
Primeira Liga
Dec 7, 2025 at 6pm UK
 
Nacional

Alverca
1-0
Nacional

Milovanovic (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Alverca and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Alverca
Sunday, December 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Alverca vs. Porto
Monday, December 22 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Tondela
Monday, December 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: AVS vs. Nacional
Sunday, December 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Alverca had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Alverca win was 1-0 (9.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
AlvercaDrawNacional
34.31%26.98%38.7%
Both teams to score 50.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56%54.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19%75.81%
Alverca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96%30.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84%66.16%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61%27.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14%62.86%
Score Analysis
    Alverca 34.31%
    Nacional 38.7%
    Draw 26.98%
AlvercaDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.31%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.23%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 10.65%
1-2 @ 8.3%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 38.7%