Primeira Liga

Dec 21, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

AVS
2-2
Nacional

Tomane (35'), Akinsola (43')
Semedo (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vitor (50'), Andres Ramirez (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: AVS 2-2 Nacional
Sunday, December 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Porto vs. AVS
Monday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: AVS 2-2 Nacional
Sunday, December 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.38% and a win for AVS had a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%) , while for a AVS win it was 1-0 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
AVS	Draw	Nacional
24.49% ( -0.48)	26.38% ( -0.18)	49.12% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 47.31% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.61% (

0.3)

56.39% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.59% (

0.24)

77.41% (

-0.24)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.45% (

-0.27)

38.55% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.7% (

-0.26)

75.3% (

0.26)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98% (

0.43)

23.01% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.17% (

0.63)

56.83% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

AVS 24.49%

Nacional 49.12%

Draw 26.38%

AVS	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.49%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.38%	0-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.74% Total : 49.12%