/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
-
Tomane
35'
-
Tunde Akinsola
43'
-
Tomane
57'
-
Ruben Semedo
69'
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Ruben Semedo
70'
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Ruben Semedo
73'
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Ze Vitor
50'
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Jesus Andres Ramirez
61'
AVS vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.38% and a win for AVS had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%) , while for a AVS win it was 1-0 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result
AVS
24.49%
▼
(-0.48)
Draw
26.38%
▼
(-0.18)
Nacional
49.12%
▲
(+0.67)
Both Teams to Score:
47.31%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.61%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 2.5
56.39%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 3.5
22.59%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 3.5
77.41%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 4.5
9.87%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 4.5
90.13%
▼
(-0.15)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5
61.45%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
38.55%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 1.5
24.7%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 1.5
75.3%
▲
(+0.26)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
76.98%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 0.5
23.01%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 1.5
43.17%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 1.5
56.83%
▼
(-0.63)
Score analysis
AVS
24.49%
Draw
26.38%
Nacional
49.12%
AVS
1-0
@
8.46%
▼
(-0.16)
2-1 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 24.49%
2-1 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 24.49%
Draw
1-1
@
12.42%
▼
(-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.38%
0-0 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.38%
Nacional
0-1
@
13.03%
▲
(+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 49.12%
0-2 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 49.12%