Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 21, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

AVS
vs.
Nacional

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 AVS
Wednesday, December 17 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Tondela
Monday, December 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 49.12%. A draw has a probability of 26.38% and a win for AVS has a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.57%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.42%) , while for a AVS win it is 1-0 (8.46%).

Result
AVS	Draw	Nacional
24.49% ( -0.48)	26.38% ( -0.18)	49.12% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 47.31% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.61% (

0.3)

56.39% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.59% (

0.24)

77.41% (

-0.24)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.45% (

-0.27)

38.55% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.7% (

-0.26)

75.3% (

0.26)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98% (

0.43)

23.01% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.17% (

0.63)

56.83% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

AVS 24.49%

Nacional 49.12%

Draw 26.38%

AVS	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.49%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.38%	0-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.74% Total : 49.12%