Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.59% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.