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Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 19, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
 
Braga

EstorilEstoril Praia
vs.
Braga

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Braga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Famalicao 4-0 Estoril
Sunday, December 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Santa Clara
Monday, December 15 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw has a probability of 21.57% and a win for Estoril Praia has a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a Estoril Praia win it is 1-0 (5.24%).

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
18.16% (0.838 0.84)21.57% (0.312 0.31)60.26% (-1.145 -1.15)
Both teams to score 53.13% (0.623 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)44.26% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.36% (0.009999999999998 0.01)66.63% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96% (0.977 0.98)38.04% (-0.972 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19% (0.93 0.93)74.81% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.74% (-0.348 -0.35)14.25% (0.353 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.97% (-0.688 -0.69)42.02% (0.692 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 18.16%
    Braga 60.25%
    Draw 21.57%
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 5.24% (0.136 0.14)
2-1 @ 4.93% (0.193 0.19)
2-0 @ 2.53% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.59% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 18.16%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.129 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.57%
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 10.28% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.68% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-3 @ 6.46% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-4 @ 3.25% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-4 @ 3.15% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.045 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 1.27% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 60.25%

Head to Head
Apr 19, 2025 6pm
gameweek 30
Estoril
0-2
Braga

Lacximicant (49')
Gharbi (5', 21')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2024 8.15pm
gameweek 13
Braga
2-2
Estoril
Bruma (16', 56' pen.)
Martinez (52'), Arrey-Mbi (64'), Fernandez (90+8')
Marques (68' pen.), Costa (82')
Bacher (54'), Costa (72'), Lacximicant (85'), Robles (90+3'), Carvalho (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2024 8.30pm
gameweek 29
Estoril
0-1
Braga
Djalo (64')
Carvalho (86')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
Final
Braga
1-1
Estoril
(Aggregate 1-1 | Braga win 5-4 on penalties)
Horta (20')
Fonte (5'), Djalo (22'), Horta (64')
Cassiano (6' pen.)
Araujo (37'), Fernandes (43'), Pina (45+1'), Guitane (62'), Figueira (83'), Marques (90+5')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 3.30pm
gameweek 12
Braga
3-1
Estoril
Horta (31'), Banza (51'), Carne (90' og.)
Fonte (26'), Moutinho (76')
Guitane (24')
Pina (42'), Feltes (67')
> Preview