Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 42.52% | 26% | 31.48% |
| Both teams to score 53.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% | 72.95% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% | 23.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% | 58.03% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% | 30.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.59% | 66.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.51% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.63% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.48% |