Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 12, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Complexo Desportivo FC Famalicao - Campo 2

Famalicao
3 - 0
Estoril

Vinicios (63'), Sejk (72'), Dias (90+3')
Vinicios (51'), Topic (69'), Pinheiro Ferreira (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bacher (34'), Pina (66'), Amaral (82'), Carvalho (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Famalicao
Saturday, April 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: AVS 0-3 Estoril
Friday, April 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Estoril Praia
54.41% ( -0.12)	25.03% ( 0.22)	20.56% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 46.55% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.98% (

-0.94)

55.02% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.71% (

-0.78)

76.29% (

0.78)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.8% (

-0.41)

20.2% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.49% (

-0.67)

52.51% (

0.67)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.34% (

-0.66)

41.66% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.86% (

-0.58)

78.14% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 54.41%

Estoril Praia 20.56%

Draw 25.02%

Famalicao	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 13.46% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.5% Total : 54.41%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.14% Total : 20.56%