Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.