Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 10, 2025 at 8.15pm UK

Complexo Desportivo FC Famalicao - Campo 2

Famalicao
1 - 0
Rio Ave

Vinicios (19')
Mihaj (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Panzo (82'), Vrousai (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Famalicao
Saturday, March 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Braga
Sunday, March 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Rio Ave
42.18% ( 0.49)	28.79% ( -0.15)	29.03% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 43.97% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.77% (

0.38)

62.23% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.09% (

0.28)

81.91% (

-0.28)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

0.46)

29.17% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

0.56)

65.11% (

-0.56)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.08% (

-0.06)

37.92% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.3% (

-0.06)

74.69% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 42.18%

Rio Ave 29.02%

Draw 28.78%

Famalicao	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 13.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.52% Total : 42.18%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.78%	0-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 29.02%