Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
| 34.37% ( | 28.42% ( | 37.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.16% ( | 59.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.88% ( | 80.12% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% ( | 32.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% ( | 69.28% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.09% ( | 30.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.8% ( | 67.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 2-0 @ 6.31% ( 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 3-2 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.36% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0-0 @ 10.11% ( 2-2 @ 4.35% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 37.2% |