Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves

AVS
1 - 0
Rio Ave

Lopes (72')
Grau (15'), Assuncao (47'), Lopes (73'), Ochoa (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Panzo (26'), Patrick (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 2-1 AVS
Saturday, August 31 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AVS in this match.

Result
AVS	Draw	Rio Ave
49.04% ( 0.23)	26.41% ( -0.05)	24.55% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 47.29% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.56% (

0.07)

56.44% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.56% (

0.06)

77.45% (

-0.05)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.93% (

0.14)

23.07% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.09% (

0.2)

56.91% (

-0.19)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.48% (

-0.12)

38.52% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.73% (

-0.11)

75.27% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

AVS 49.04%

Rio Ave 24.55%

Draw 26.41%

AVS	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.04%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.55%