Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for AVS had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | AVS |
| 46.69% ( | 24.75% ( | 28.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.85% ( | 47.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.61% ( | 69.39% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( | 20.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.4% ( | 52.61% ( |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( | 30.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% ( | 66.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | AVS |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 46.69% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 28.56% |