Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 16, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
4 - 2
AVS

Aguirre de Cespedes (37'), Fujimoto (41', 90+4' pen., 90+6')
Carlos (63')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Afonso (32'), Nene (45+3')
Salustiano de Jesus Silva (34'), Clayton (63'), Teixeira (90+3'), Castro (90+9')
Salustiano de Jesus Silva (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, August 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 1-1 Nacional
Saturday, August 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for AVS had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawAVS
46.69% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)24.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.56% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)47.15% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)69.39% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.012 -0.01)20.26% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.4% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)52.61% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (0.0040000000000049 0)66.45% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 46.69%
    AVS 28.56%
    Draw 24.75%
Gil VicenteDrawAVS
1-0 @ 9.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.38% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.56%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs AVS

Gil Vicente
83.3%
Draw
5.6%
AVS
11.1%
18