Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 36.32% ( | 27.29% ( | 36.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.47% ( | 55.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.29% ( | 76.71% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% ( | 29.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.71% ( | 65.29% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( | 29.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.76% ( | 65.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.32% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.38% |