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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Boavista

Farense
2 - 0
Boavista

Belloumi (12'), Falcao (28'), Duarte (39')
Isidoro (62'), Rossi (78'), Makouta (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Sasso (53'), Santos (78'), Makouta (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, March 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawBoavista
38.34% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)26.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)35.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.56% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78% (0.0039999999999978 0)74.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)26.71% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.03% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)61.97% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (0.02000000000001 0.02)28.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (0.023000000000003 0.02)64.41% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 38.33%
    Boavista 35.12%
    Draw 26.54%
SC FarenseDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 35.12%

How you voted: Farense vs Boavista

SC Farense
26.1%
Draw
47.8%
Boavista
26.1%
23
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Boavista
1-3
Farense
Bozenik (86')
Reisinho (50'), Awaziem (83'), Tavares (90')
Balde (29'), Isidoro (90+2'), Barbosa (90+6')
Isidoro (80')
Mar 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Boavista
0-1
Farense

Paulinho (87'), Benguche (88')
Velho (25')
Gauld (75')
Nov 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 7
Farense
3-1
Boavista
Gauld (22'), Stojiljkovic (50'), Mancha (53')
Abner (39'), Melo (67'), Mansilla (75'), Aouacheria (80')
Gomes (43')
Gomes (9')