Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Boavista |
| 38.34% ( | 26.54% ( | 35.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.44% ( | 52.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.78% ( | 74.22% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( | 26.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.03% ( | 61.97% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( | 28.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% ( | 64.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.12% |