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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Farense logo

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 2
Farense

Braganca (11'), Gyokeres (29'), Goncalves (53')
St Juste (48')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Belloumi (32'), Luis (50')
Isidoro (22'), Muscat (40'), Luis (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica
Thursday, February 29 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Farense 0-1 Moreirense
Saturday, February 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 SC Farense

Sporting could be tired after their domestic cup exertions against their city rivals Benfica, but they should possess far too much individual quality for Farense to cope with. The visitors have dipped in recent weeks after making a decent start to life back in the top flight following their promotion last season, and they would likely settle for suffering a defeat as narrow as possible. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 4.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 4-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.11%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
87.04% (0.63000000000001 0.63) 8.84% (-0.233 -0.23) 4.12% (-0.394 -0.39)
Both teams to score 46.16% (-2.636 -2.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.61% (-1.144 -1.14)24.39% (1.147 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.88% (-1.526 -1.53)44.11% (1.528 1.53)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.34% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)3.66% (0.091 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.24% (-0.298 -0.3)15.75% (0.303 0.3)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.91% (-2.69 -2.69)52.09% (2.693 2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.93% (-1.826 -1.83)86.07% (1.829 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 87.02%
    SC Farense 4.12%
    Draw 8.84%
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
3-0 @ 11.49% (0.62 0.62)
2-0 @ 10.42% (0.632 0.63)
4-0 @ 9.51% (0.445 0.44)
3-1 @ 7.5% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.3% (0.43 0.43)
5-0 @ 6.29% (0.249 0.25)
4-1 @ 6.2% (-0.191 -0.19)
5-1 @ 4.11% (-0.158 -0.16)
6-0 @ 3.47% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.26 -0.26)
6-1 @ 2.26% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.232 -0.23)
7-0 @ 1.64% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.34% (-0.164 -0.16)
7-1 @ 1.07% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 87.02%
1-1 @ 4.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.22% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-0 @ 1.91% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 8.84%
1-2 @ 1.34% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 4.12%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Farense

Sporting Lisbon
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
SC Farense
0.0%
30
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
4-2
Farense
Gyokeres (24', 28' pen., 63'), Santos (56')
Reis (14')
Oliveira (49'), Goncalves (79')
Sep 30, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Farense
2-3
Sporting Lisbon
Oliveira (37', 55')
Belloumi (58'), Oliveira (63'), Luis (85'), Velho (88'), Jorge (90+3')
Silva (18')
Gyokeres (21' pen., 90'), Goncalves (35')
Hjulmand (36'), Santos (53'), Braganca (84'), Inacio (85'), Goncalves (88'), Morita (90+4')
Nov 30, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
6-0
Farense
Paulinho (20', 22'), Edwards (39'), Goncalves (48'), Arthur (75'), Fernandes (85' pen.)
Apr 16, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 27
Farense
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Gauld (90+3')
Goncalves (35')
Reis (40'), Adan (86')
Dec 19, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Farense
Sporar (90+1' pen.)
Tomas (26'), Palhinha (41'), Coates (68'), Santos (90+7')

Defendi (36'), Isidoro (43'), Nunes (75'), Mancha (83')
Defendi (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Ruud
Tsitsipas
1 4
6 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon28242283275674
2Benfica28214362233967
3Porto29185653233059
4Braga29185661402159
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes29176645291657
6MoreirenseMoreirense2812793030043
7AroucaArouca291341250391143
8FamalicaoFamalicao2881193135-435
9Casa Pia2988132941-1232
10SC FarenseFarense2987143841-331
11Rio AveRio Ave2951593137-630
12BoavistaBoavista2978143455-2129
13Estoril PraiaEstoril2985164350-729
14Gil Vicente2977153648-1228
15Estrela Amadora29610133145-1428
16PortimonensePortimonense2976163262-3027
17Vizela2849152859-3121
18ChavesChaves2847172760-3319


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