Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 3, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 2
Farense

Braganca (11'), Gyokeres (29'), Goncalves (53')
St Juste (48')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Belloumi (32'), Luis (50')
Isidoro (22'), Muscat (40'), Luis (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica
Thursday, February 29 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 0-1 Moreirense
Saturday, February 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 4.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 4-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.11%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	SC Farense
87.04% ( 0.63)	8.84% ( -0.23)	4.12% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 46.16% (

-2.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.61% (

-1.14)

24.39% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.88% (

-1.53)

44.11% (

1.53)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.34% (

-0.09)

3.66% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.24% (

-0.3)

15.75% (

0.3)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.91% (

-2.69)

52.09% (

2.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.93% (

-1.83)

86.07% (

1.83)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 87.02%

SC Farense 4.12%

Draw 8.84%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	SC Farense
3-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.63) 4-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.43) 5-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.16) 6-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.26) 6-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.23) 7-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.16) 7-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.15% Total : 87.02%	1-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.61% Total : 8.84%	1-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.54% Total : 4.12%