Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 19, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

FT(HT: 0-2)

Morita (3'), Goncalves (23')
Santos (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Chaves
Saturday, February 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Young Boys 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Moreirense win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
19.81% ( -0.07)	21.83% ( -0.05)	58.36% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 55.23% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1% (

0.1)

42.91% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.69% (

0.1)

65.31% (

-0.1)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.53% (

-0.01)

35.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77% (

-0.01)

72.24% (

0.01)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.6% (

0.07)

14.41% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.68% (

0.14)

42.32% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 19.81%

Sporting Lisbon 58.36%

Draw 21.83%

Moreirense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.81%	1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.83%	1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 58.36%