Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 11, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
5 - 0
Braga

Trincao (8'), Quaresma (18'), Gyokeres (71'), Braganca (73'), Santos (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Uniao de Leiria 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Moreirense
Sunday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Braga had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 3-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
74.47% ( -0.25)	14.93% ( 0.19)	10.61% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 56.92% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.47% (

-0.82)

29.53% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.38% (

-1)

50.62% (

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.28% (

-0.23)

6.72% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.14% (

-0.62)

24.86% (

0.63)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.02% (

-0.49)

38.99% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.29% (

-0.47)

75.71% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 74.47%

Braga 10.61%

Draw 14.93%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.29% Total : 74.47%	1-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 14.93%	1-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 10.61%