Primeira Liga
Gameweek
21
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-
Francisco Trincao
8'
-
Eduardo Quaresma
18'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
71'
-
Daniel Braganca
73'
-
Nuno Santos
85'
Sporting Lisbon vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Braga had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 3-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result
Sporting Lisbon
74.47%
▼
(-0.26)
Draw
14.93%
▲
(+0.20)
Braga
10.61%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
56.92%
▼
(-0.60)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.47%
▼
(-0.82)
Under 2.5
29.53%
▲
(+0.83)
Over 3.5
49.38%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 3.5
50.62%
▲
(+1.01)
Over 4.5
30.17%
▼
(-0.92)
Under 4.5
69.83%
▲
(+0.93)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5
93.28%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 0.5
6.72%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 1.5
75.14%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 1.5
24.86%
▲
(+0.63)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5
61.02%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 0.5
38.99%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 1.5
24.29%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 1.5
75.71%
▲
(+0.47)
Score analysis
Sporting Lisbon
74.47%
Draw
14.93%
Braga
10.61%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
@
9.55%
▲
(+0.21)
2-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.25)
4-0 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.08)
6-0 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.05)
5-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.07)
6-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 74.47%
2-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.25)
4-0 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.08)
6-0 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.05)
5-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.07)
6-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 74.47%
Draw
1-1
@
6.66%
▲
(+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 14.93%
2-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 14.93%
Braga
1-2
@
3.14%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 10.61%
0-1 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 10.61%
Head to Head
Taca da Liga
-
Abel Ruiz
65'
-
Joao Moutinho
81'
-
Eduardo Quaresma
15'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
45'+1'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
4
-
Sikou Niakate
45'+4'
-
Artur Jorge
45'+6'
-
Alvaro Djalo
78'
-
Vitor Carvalho
83'
-
Artur Jorge
90'+3'
-
Pedro Goncalves
25'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
27'
-
Hidemasa Morita
33'
-
R. Amorim
40'
-
Goncalo Inacio
90'
-
Pedro Goncalves
90'
-
Ousmane Diomande
90'+4'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
18
-
Hidemasa Morita
9'
-
Hidemasa Morita
46'
-
Marcus Edwards
61'
-
Matheus Reis
86'
-
Pedro Goncalves
90'+3'
Taca da Liga
-
Goncalo Inacio
4'
-
Paulinho
7'
-
Pedro Goncalves
20'
-
Francisco Trincao
41'
-
Marcus Edwards
45'+4'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
1
-
Simon Banza
14'
-
Sikou Niakate
22'
-
Ali Elmusrati
24'
-
Sikou Niakate
45'+1'
-
Abel Ruiz
88'
-
Pedro Goncalves
9'
-
Nuno Santos
18'
-
Matheus Nunes
68'
-
Pedro Goncalves
74'
-
Marcus Edwards
83'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
19
-
Pedro Goncalves
24'
-
Pablo Sarabia
45'
-
Sebastian Coates
51'
-
Matheus Nunes
90'+1'
-
Galeno
52'
-
Andre Castro
57'
-
Abel Ruiz
90'+2'
-
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
90'+7'
-
Lukas Hornicek
90'+7'
-
Matheus Magalhaes
90'+9'