Taca da Liga | Semi-Finals

Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa

Braga
1 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

Ruiz (65')
Moutinho (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Quaresma (15'), Gyokeres (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca da Liga clash between Braga and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Braga
Thursday, January 18 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Vizela 2-5 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, January 18 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Braga had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
29.19% ( -2.38)	23.56% ( -0.36)	47.24% ( 2.74)

Both teams to score 60.09% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.57% (

0.42)

41.43% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.17% (

0.43)

63.82% (

-0.42)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08% (

-1.32)

26.92% (

1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75% (

-1.76)

62.25% (

1.77)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23% (

1.28)

17.77% (

-1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.53% (

2.16)

48.46% (

-2.16)

Score Analysis

Braga 29.19%

Sporting Lisbon 47.24%

Draw 23.56%

Braga	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.19%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.35) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.41) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.24) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.24%