/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbralog.png)
-
Clayton
74'
-
Beni Mukendi
90'+6'
-
Joao Moutinho
51'
-
Simon Banza
77'
-
Rodrigo Zalazar
88'
Casa Pia vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Fcasa-pia.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result
Casa Pia
22.45%
▲
(+0.41)
Draw
23.63%
▲
(+0.28)
Braga
53.91%
▼
(-0.69)
Both Teams to Score:
53.24%
▼
(-0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.56%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 2.5
47.44%
▲
(+0.70)
Over 3.5
30.35%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 3.5
69.65%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 4.5
14.91%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 4.5
85.09%
▲
(+0.46)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
64.54%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
35.45%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
27.78%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
72.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5
82.49%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 0.5
17.51%
▲
(+0.51)
Over 1.5
51.98%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 1.5
48.02%
▲
(+0.89)
Score analysis
Casa Pia
22.45%
Draw
23.62%
Braga
53.91%
Casa Pia
1-0
@
6.44%
▲
(+0.19)
2-1 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 22.45%
2-1 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 22.45%
Draw
1-1
@
11.21%
▲
(+0.15)
0-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.62%
0-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.62%
Braga
0-1
@
10.81%
▲
(+0.15)
1-2 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.10)
0-4 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.10)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 53.91%
1-2 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.10)
0-4 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.10)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 53.91%