/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
-
Andre Sousa
12'
-
Luis Esteves
19'
-
Joao Aurelio
42'
-
Jordi Pola
83'
-
Gustavo
88'
-
Vladan Danilovic
96'
-
Leonardo Lelo
30'
-
Pablo Roberto
74'
-
Clayton
80'
-
Ricardo Batista
105'+1'
-
Gaizka Larrazabal
105'+2'
Nacional vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%).
Result
Nacional
41.11%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
26.3%
▼
(-0.05)
Casa Pia
32.58%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
52.54%
▲
(+0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.96%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 2.5
52.03%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 3.5
26.23%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 3.5
73.77%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 4.5
12.15%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
87.85%
▼
(-0.11)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
75.02%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
24.98%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
40.37%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
59.62%
▼
(-0.15)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
70.03%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
29.97%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
33.92%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
66.08%
▼
(-0.12)
Score analysis
Nacional
41.11%
Draw
26.3%
Casa Pia
32.58%
Nacional
1-0
@
10.38%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 41.11%
2-1 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 41.11%
Draw
1-1
@
12.51%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 26.3%
0-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 26.3%
Casa Pia
0-1
@
9.02%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 32.58%
1-2 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 32.58%
