Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vizela in this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
| 32.23% ( | 27.83% ( | 39.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.96% ( | 58.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% ( | 78.72% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% ( | 33.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.12% ( | 69.88% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( | 28.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.84% ( | 64.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 11.89% 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.93% |