Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Oct 2, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
2 - 0
Casa Pia

Carlos (61'), Depu (78')
Pereira (40'), Dominguez (52'), Tiba (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Larrazabal (13'), Soma (20'), Roberto (52')
Roberto (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, September 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Nacional
Thursday, September 28 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Casa Pia
37.63% ( -0.02)	25.87% ( 0)	36.5% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.67% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.39% (

-0.02)

49.61% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.37% (

-0.02)

71.63% (

0.02)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26% (

-0.02)

25.74% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32% (

-0.03)

60.67% (

0.04)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

26.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.47% (

0.01)

61.53% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 37.63%

Casa Pia 36.5%

Draw 25.86%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.63%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.25% Total : 36.5%