/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
-
Felippe Cardoso
15'
-
Isaac Bernardo Neto Monteiro
37'
-
Neto
42'
-
Felippe Cardoso
55'
-
Leonardo Lelo
72'
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Clayton
90'+4'
-
Witi
3'
-
Carlos Daniel
48'
Casa Pia vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
Result
Casa Pia
46.53%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
25.62%
▼
(-0.01)
Nacional
27.85%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
52.33%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.79%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
51.21%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
26.95%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
73.05%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 4.5
12.62%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
87.38%
▼
(-0.04)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
78%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
22%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
44.69%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
55.31%
▲
(+0.01)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
67.08%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
32.92%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
30.51%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
69.49%
▼
(-0.10)
Score analysis
Casa Pia
46.53%
Draw
25.61%
Nacional
27.85%
Casa Pia
1-0
@
10.96%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 46.53%
2-1 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 46.53%
Draw
1-1
@
12.18%
0-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 25.61%
0-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 25.61%
Nacional
0-1
@
8.05%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.85%
1-2 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.85%