Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%).

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Nacional
43.29% ( -0.24)	28.26% ( 0.18)	28.45% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 45.07% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.3% (

-0.58)

60.69% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.23% (

-0.44)

80.76% (

0.44)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17% (

-0.41)

27.83% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

-0.52)

63.42% (

0.51)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.46% (

-0.27)

37.54% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.68% (

-0.27)

74.32% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 43.29%

Nacional 28.44%

Draw 28.25%

Casa Pia	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.74% Total : 43.29%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.71% Total : 28.44%