Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Casa Pia

Estoril
2 - 0
Casa Pia

Geraldes (32' pen.), Gouveia (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, January 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Casa Pia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Setubal 0-1 Casa Pia
Thursday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawCasa Pia
23.3% (-0.187 -0.19)25.58% (0.091000000000001 0.09)51.11% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.36% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-0.503 -0.5)54.4% (0.503 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22% (-0.422 -0.42)75.77% (0.42099999999999 0.42)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)38.54% (0.456 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (-0.439 -0.44)75.29% (0.437 0.44)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (-0.166 -0.17)21.31% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (-0.257 -0.26)54.26% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 23.3%
    Casa Pia 51.1%
    Draw 25.58%
Estoril PraiaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.056 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.77% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.83% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 12.69% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 9.81% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.06% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 51.1%

How you voted: Estoril vs Casa Pia

Estoril Praia
11.1%
Draw
18.5%
Casa Pia
70.4%
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