Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
23.3% ( -0.19) | 25.58% ( 0.09) | 51.11% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.36% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.6% ( -0.5) | 54.4% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.22% ( -0.42) | 75.77% ( 0.42) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% ( -0.46) | 38.54% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.71% ( -0.44) | 75.29% ( 0.44) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% ( -0.17) | 21.31% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% ( -0.26) | 54.26% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |