Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 28, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
1 - 2
Casa Pia

Luquinhas (35' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Neto (31' og.), Antoine (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 0-3 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, December 14 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Casa Pia
Monday, December 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Casa Pia
47.52% ( 0.6)	25.41% ( -0.14)	27.07% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 52.38% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.14% (

0.27)

50.86% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.26% (

0.24)

72.74% (

-0.24)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.59% (

0.38)

21.41% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.59% (

0.59)

54.41% (

-0.59)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65% (

-0.22)

33.35% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.02% (

-0.24)

69.97% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 47.52%

Casa Pia 27.07%

Draw 25.41%

Portimonense	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 47.52%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.07%