Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Porto

Portimonense
0 - 2
Porto

FT(HT: 0-1)
Otavio (22'), Pepe (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawPorto
17.91% (1.343 1.34)22.19% (0.565 0.57)59.91% (-1.899 -1.9)
Both teams to score 50.63% (0.903 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (-0.17 -0.17)47.34% (0.179 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.159 -0.16)69.56% (0.167 0.17)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.85% (1.533 1.53)40.16% (-1.524 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.21% (1.37 1.37)76.79% (-1.361 -1.36)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (-0.667 -0.67)15.4% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81% (-1.269 -1.27)44.2% (1.278 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 17.91%
    Porto 59.9%
    Draw 22.19%
PortimonenseDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.271 0.27)
2-1 @ 4.82% (0.313 0.31)
2-0 @ 2.57% (0.223 0.22)
3-1 @ 1.46% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.37% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 17.91%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.193 0.19)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.19%
0-1 @ 11.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-2 @ 10.82% (-0.44 -0.44)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.75% (-0.442 -0.44)
1-3 @ 6.16% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-4 @ 3.16% (-0.287 -0.29)
1-4 @ 2.88% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.18% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.9%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Porto

Portimonense
6.1%
Draw
3.0%
Porto
90.9%
33
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 8.30pm
Porto
7-0
Portimonense
Taremi (19', 34' pen., 47'), Grujic (28'), Evanilson (40', 60'), Pepe (55')

Aponza (81'), Da Costa (84')
Dec 3, 2021 7pm
Portimonense
0-3
Porto

Portugal (45+4'), Luquinhas (59'), Willyan (77')
Sa (45+3' og.), Vitinha (70'), Otavio (75')
Uribe (54')
Mar 20, 2021 6pm
Portimonense
1-2
Porto
Cande (64')
Dener (26'), Willyan (45+1'), Sergio (67'), Beto (71'), Antonio (71')
Sergio (68'), Sa (90+6')
Possignolo (45+1' og.), Portugal Lima (67' og.)
Conceicao (67'), Marchesin (71'), Oliveira (90')
Conceicao (68')
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Porto
3-1
Portimonense
Mbemba (45+2'), Taremi (46'), Oliveira (89')
Oliveira (56'), Corona (62'), Mbemba (74')
Beto (14')
Antonio (65'), Dener (75'), Cesar (90')
Feb 23, 2020 8.30pm
Porto
1-0
Portimonense
Telles (87')
Otavio (83'), Manafa (88')

Dener (68'), Sa (74'), Henrique (79'), Boa Morte (86'), Willyan (86')
rhs 2.0


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